Mississippi vs Arkansas 10/27/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Mississippi winning 44% of simulations, and Arkansas 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Mississippi commits fewer turnovers in 36% of simulations and they go on to win 56% when they take care of the ball. Arkansas wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jeff Scott is averaging 102 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Tyler Wilson is averaging 316 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARK -4.5
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